Gençlerbirliği 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 35% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.64
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.43
X/2
12%
4.82
X/X
15%
4.72
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.28/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.04
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
15.9 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0W-1D-5L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 2.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
351 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD
29.07.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD
06.02.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
12.09.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
07.08.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSYD
11.04.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.40 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 459
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gençlerbirliği found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 38% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 62%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.40 to 1.06 — on chances, MKE Ankaragücü could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.00 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Gençlerbirliği 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 34%, draw 28%, MKE Ankaragücü 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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