Keçiörengücü 1-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

Keçiörengücü
1-1 HT 1-1
Manisa FK
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.31
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
9%
5.98
X/2
9%
5.0
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
20%
3.35
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keçiörengücü v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.22/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.00
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.9 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
29.04.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
04.12.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.05.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.12.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
25.09.2018 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü TÜK

Keçiörengücü 1-1 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-1
AWAY Manisa FK
0.22 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
355 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü and Manisa FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 56% of the ball to Manisa FK's 44%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.22 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?

Keçiörengücü 1-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 36%, draw 27%, Manisa FK 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manisa FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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