Gençlerbirliği 3-1 Sakaryaspor — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Turkey - 1. Lig, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.42
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.44
6+
6%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.72
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
10%
7.14
X/X
16%
4.77
2/1
3%
24.3
2/2
15%
5.2
2/X
5%
13.7
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gençlerbirliği The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Sakaryaspor The Market 31%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.52 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.53
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
198 Passes 378
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
16.05.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
17.12.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
19.05.2007 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TSL
03.12.2006 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
29.01.2005 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3 - 1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.92 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Gençlerbirliği vs Sakaryaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gençlerbirliği put daylight between themselves and Sakaryaspor 3-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Gençlerbirliği had 49% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 51%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Sakaryaspor.

Gençlerbirliği vs Sakaryaspor Result & Final Score

Gençlerbirliği 3 - 1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1. Lig on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gençlerbirliği vs Sakaryaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 46%, draw 27%, Sakaryaspor 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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