Şanlıurfaspor 4-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
18%
4.48
X/2
12%
6.31
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.89
2/X
8%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
0.71/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.09
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.1 Crosses 13.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 0.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
435 Passes 209
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.09.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor HAZ
17.01.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
16.08.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
01.02.2015 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.08.2014 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
4-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.64 xG 0.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
272 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor swept aside Adanaspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Şanlıurfaspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 52% of the ball to Adanaspor's 48%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.64 to 0.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.50 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 4-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 43%, draw 27%, Adanaspor 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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