Huesca 2-3 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

Huesca
2-3 HT 0-2
Eibar
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.73
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.76
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
13%
4.9
X/X
16%
3.15
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.87
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
0.93/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.18
-37% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.5 Crosses 21.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Eibar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 421
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
27.05.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
04.12.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
30.07.2022 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 2-1 Huesca Huesca HAZ
29.01.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
13.08.2021 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
2-3
AWAY Eibar
2.22 xG 1.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
286 Passes 399
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar edged past Huesca 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Eibar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 44% of the ball to Eibar's 56%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.22 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Huesca.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Huesca and 1.50 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Eibar?

Huesca 2-3 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Huesca 34%, draw 32%, Eibar 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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