Racing Santander 0-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

Racing Santander
0-2 HT 0-1
Cartagena
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Racing Santander vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
12%
4.15
X/2
13%
7.95
X/X
12%
4.38
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
9%
6.3
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.44/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.48
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.8 Crosses 21.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Racing Santander vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Cartagena
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 2-3 HT 2-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
28.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-1 HT 3-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
17.12.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 0-3 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Racing Santander 0-2 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
0-2
AWAY Cartagena
0.88 xG 2.82
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
513 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena saw off Racing Santander 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Santander at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 71% of the ball to Cartagena's 29%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.88 to 2.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Cartagena?

Racing Santander 0-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 45%, draw 23%, Cartagena 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Santander) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5
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