Zürich 0-0 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.28
1/2
6%
43.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.05
X/2
7%
8.65
X/X
14%
5.2
2/1
7%
22.6
2/2
10%
6.51
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.72/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.65
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.1 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
200 Passes 389
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.05.2023 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
08.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
20.10.2022 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.08.2022 Zürich Zürich 2-4 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
01.05.2022 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-0
AWAY Basel
1.25 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
265 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich and Basel played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zürich had 49% of the ball to Basel's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zürich and 1.17 for Basel.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Basel?

Zürich 0-0 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zürich 47%, draw 28%, Basel 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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