Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.1
Over 2.5
40%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.4pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-15.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+16.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-16.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -82% / -82%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-40% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +67%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
0.43 xG 2.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 5
231 Passes 399
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 40% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 60%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.43 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juventus (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 18%, draw 28%, Juventus (K) 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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