Mönchengladbach 1-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Jan 2024

Mönchengladbach
1-2 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.33
X/X
11%
5.73
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
2.06/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.51
+14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.1 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Augsburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.90 xG 1.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
488 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 4-4 HT 3-3 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
27.05.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
25.01.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
12.02.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-2 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
18.09.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
12.03.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 1-2 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1-2
AWAY Augsburg
2.14 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
421 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg squeezed past Mönchengladbach 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 55% of the ball to Augsburg's 45%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.14 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mönchengladbach.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg?

Mönchengladbach 1-2 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 47%, draw 25%, Augsburg 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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