Botafogo SP 0-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 21 Jan 2024

Botafogo SP
0-1 HT 0-0
Santos
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Brazil - Paulista A1 – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
31.72
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
58%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
41%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 0.91
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
268 Passes 452
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.04.2023 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRK
12.04.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BRK
29.01.2022 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
11.04.2021 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
11.02.2020 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
21.03.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 4-0 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BREPAU

Botafogo SP 0-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-1
AWAY Santos
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
343 Passes 355
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos nicked a narrow win over Botafogo SP 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 50% of the ball to Santos's 50%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo SP and 0.83 for Santos.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Santos?

Botafogo SP 0-1 Santos in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 25%, draw 17%, Santos 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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