Ponte Preta 1-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 21 Jan 2024

Ponte Preta
1-1 HT 1-1
Mirassol FC
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Brazil - Paulista A1 – 2024

Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.75
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
24%
+14.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ponte Preta v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.17/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.08
+81% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.1 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
311 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-3 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
03.06.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
27.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
30.04.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
26.07.2020 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
31.01.2019 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 3-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Ponte Preta 1-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
1-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 425
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponte Preta and Mirassol FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 19% / 43%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 40% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 60%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.17 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC?

Ponte Preta 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 38%, draw 19%, Mirassol FC 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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