Ferroviaria 2-1 CA Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
33%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferroviaria The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Juventus The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferroviaria
2-1
AWAY CA Juventus
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Ferroviaria vs CA Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferroviaria squeezed past CA Juventus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferroviaria as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ferroviaria had 46% of the ball to CA Juventus's 54%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Ferroviaria vs CA Juventus?

Ferroviaria 2-1 CA Juventus in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferroviaria vs CA Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferroviaria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ferroviaria 50%, draw 21%, CA Juventus 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferroviaria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferroviaria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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