Noroeste 2-2 Capivariano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over Pick
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
45%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noroeste The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Capivariano The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noroeste
2-2
AWAY Capivariano
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Noroeste vs Capivariano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noroeste and Capivariano shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Noroeste had 60% of the ball to Capivariano's 40%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of Noroeste vs Capivariano?

Noroeste 2-2 Capivariano in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noroeste vs Capivariano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noroeste win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Noroeste 37%, draw 33%, Capivariano 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Noroeste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Noroeste) ✓ Over 2.5
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