Peru U23 1-0 Şili U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.82
Over 2.5
34%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
51%
+14.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
49%
-14.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili U23 EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru U23
1-0
AWAY Şili U23
0.34 xG 2.19
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
170 Passes 348
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peru U23 vs Şili U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peru U23 edged past Şili U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Şili U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Peru U23 had 38% of the ball to Şili U23's 62%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.34 to 2.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Şili U23.

What was the final score of Peru U23 vs Şili U23?

Peru U23 1-0 Şili U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru U23 vs Şili U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Şili U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Peru U23 18%, draw 32%, Şili U23 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Şili U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Şili U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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