Venezuela U23 3-3 Bolivya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.91
Over 2.5
37%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.6pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela U23
3-3
AWAY Bolivya U23
0.64 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 0
247 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Venezuela U23 vs Bolivya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela U23 and Bolivya U23 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Venezuela U23 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezuela U23 had 46% of the ball to Bolivya U23's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.64 to 1.77.

What was the final score of Venezuela U23 vs Bolivya U23?

Venezuela U23 3-3 Bolivya U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela U23 vs Bolivya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezuela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Venezuela U23 57%, draw 22%, Bolivya U23 20%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Venezuela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
COE More CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers
21 Jan 2024
23:00 Peru U23 vs Şili U23 Analysis →