River Plate 1-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒00:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
500 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-0
AWAY Pachuca
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate squeezed past Pachuca 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, River Plate had 50% of the ball to Pachuca's 50%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Pachuca?

River Plate 1-0 Pachuca in the Friendlies on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split River Plate 56%, draw 23%, Pachuca 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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