Vida 1-2 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.8pp
19%
Draw
27%
-8.4pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.23
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 1-0 Vida Vida HON
18.09.2023 Vida Vida 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.04.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 2-1 Vida Vida HON
19.02.2023 Vida Vida 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
06.11.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 1-1 Vida Vida HON
01.09.2022 Vida Vida 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Vida 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 19% / 43% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vida and 1.67 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Vida vs Real Espana?

Vida 1-2 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vida 38%, draw 19%, Real Espana 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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