Mineros de Fresnillo 3-1 Calor de San Pedro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
11%
+13.8pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Fresnillo EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Calor de San Pedro EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Fresnillo beat Calor de San Pedro 3-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Calor de San Pedro at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro?

Mineros de Fresnillo 3-1 Calor de San Pedro in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Calor de San Pedro win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Fresnillo 25%, draw 18%, Calor de San Pedro 57%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Calor de San Pedro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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