21/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Tigres UANL U23 vs Guadalajara U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
25%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL U23 v Guadalajara U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tigres UANL U23
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Guadalajara U23
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
301 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
386 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tigres UANL U23 vs Guadalajara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tigres UANL U23 nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara U23 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Tigres UANL U23 made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL U23 vs Guadalajara U23?
Tigres UANL U23 1-0 Guadalajara U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL U23 vs Guadalajara U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL U23 39%, draw 25%, Guadalajara U23 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL U23), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL U23)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
21 Jan 2024