Bursaspor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursaspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 60%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bursaspor Bursaspor S2-B
POST-MATCH Bursaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor edged past Bursaspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bursaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Bursaspor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bursaspor 21%, draw 28%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S2-B More Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup
21 Jan 2024
14:00 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor Analysis →
14:00 Zonguldak Kömürspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK Analysis →
14:00 Kırklarelispor vs Esenler Erokspor Analysis →
14:00 Adıyaman FK vs Van Spor FK Analysis →