Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-4 1461 Trabzon FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.72
-14% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-B
03.09.2022 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-K
11.11.2020 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-B
23.02.2020 Zonguldak Kömürspor 0-3 HT 0-1 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-B
13.10.2019 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor S2-B
14.02.2016 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Zonguldak Kömürspor S3-1
POST-MATCH Zonguldak Kömürspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1461 Trabzon FK got the better of Zonguldak Kömürspor 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had 1461 Trabzon FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1461 Trabzon FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zonguldak Kömürspor and 2.00 for 1461 Trabzon FK.

What was the final score of Zonguldak Kömürspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-4 1461 Trabzon FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zonguldak Kömürspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zonguldak Kömürspor 29%, draw 25%, 1461 Trabzon FK 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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