Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-0 Darıca Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Darıca Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.30/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.89
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Darıca Gençlerbirliği
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2021 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Darıca Gençlerbirliği Darıca Gençlerbirliği TÜK
20.10.2020 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Darıca Gençlerbirliği Darıca Gençlerbirliği TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
1-0
AWAY Darıca Gençlerbirliği
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Darıca Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belediye Kütahyaspor edged past Darıca Gençlerbirliği 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belediye Kütahyaspor as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Belediye Kütahyaspor had 59% of the ball to Darıca Gençlerbirliği's 41%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Darıca Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Belediye Kütahyaspor and 1.00 for Darıca Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Darıca Gençlerbirliği?

Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-0 Darıca Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Darıca Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belediye Kütahyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Belediye Kütahyaspor 57%, draw 26%, Darıca Gençlerbirliği 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor) ✓ BTTS No
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