Ayutthaya United 2-0 Suphanburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Suphanburi EU Bookmakers 29%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.72/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.32
-50% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayutthaya United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Suphanburi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2023 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 0-2 HT 0-2 Suphanburi Suphanburi TAY1
20.08.2022 Suphanburi Suphanburi 1-1 HT 0-0 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayutthaya United
2-0
AWAY Suphanburi
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ayutthaya United vs Suphanburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayutthaya United beat Suphanburi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayutthaya United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ayutthaya United had 56% of the ball to Suphanburi's 44%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Suphanburi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ayutthaya United and 1.50 for Suphanburi.

What was the final score of Ayutthaya United vs Suphanburi?

Ayutthaya United 2-0 Suphanburi in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayutthaya United vs Suphanburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayutthaya United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ayutthaya United 45%, draw 24%, Suphanburi 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayutthaya United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayutthaya United) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY1 More Thailand - 2nd Division
21 Jan 2024
14:00 Kanchanaburi vs Chanthaburi Analysis →
14:30 Chiangmai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Analysis →