Chiangmai 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
29%
+17.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.7pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangmai EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangmai
1-0
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Chiangmai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangmai edged past Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chiangmai as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Chiangmai had 45% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Chiangmai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Chiangmai 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangmai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangmai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chiangmai 46%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiangmai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chiangmai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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