Stourbridge 0-1 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.7pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.36/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
-28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.02.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
01.10.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 2-4 HT 0-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town squeezed past Stourbridge 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stourbridge had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stourbridge and 1.50 for Bedford Town.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Bedford Town?

Stourbridge 0-1 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 45%, draw 34%, Bedford Town 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stourbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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