Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.39/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.84
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Matlock Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
16.04.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-4 HT 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
03.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 5-3 HT 3-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.09.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town FAK
02.01.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-1
AWAY Matlock Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity and Matlock Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 45% of the ball to Matlock Town's 55%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 0.83 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Matlock Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 45%, draw 22%, Matlock Town 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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