Matlock Town 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.41/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.41
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-4 HT 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
03.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 5-3 HT 3-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.09.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town FAK
02.01.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matlock Town
0-2
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity got the better of Matlock Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Matlock Town had 53% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Matlock Town and 2.50 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Matlock Town 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 30%, draw 28%, Gainsborough Trinity 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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