Al Ain 4-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Jan 2025

Al Ain
4-1 HT 2-0
Al Nasr
📅21/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Ain vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.51
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
9%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ain v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.82
-29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.8 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Ain vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.00 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-3 HT 0-3 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
12.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
19.10.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
08.10.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
21.05.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
17.05.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain cruised past Al Nasr 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ain and 1.33 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Nasr?

Al Ain 4-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 44%, draw 26%, Al Nasr 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ BTTS Yes
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