Awassa Kenema 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.64
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
57%
-21.2pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.1pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.1pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 19%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.71/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.49
-49% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-1
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 51% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 49%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Awassa Kenema 1-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 36%, draw 36%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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