Fasil Ketema 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.13
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
21%
-3.6pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.1pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 50%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.41/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.30
-48% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -45%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
188 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Mekelakeya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 44% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 56%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Fasil Ketema 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 17%, draw 38%, Mekelakeya 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mekelakeya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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