Al Nasar 1-1 Kazma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 22% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
53%
Away Win
46%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazma EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.59/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.40
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kazma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 6
22.08.2024 Kazma Kazma 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
15.12.2023 Kazma Kazma 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
24.08.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-3 HT 2-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
09.02.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 4-1 HT 2-0 Kazma Kazma KUV
15.09.2022 Kazma Kazma 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
05.03.2022 Kazma Kazma 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
1-1
AWAY Kazma
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Kazma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar and Kazma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kazma at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Nasar had 47% of the ball to Kazma's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Nasar and 1.17 for Kazma.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Kazma?

Al Nasar 1-1 Kazma in the Kuwait - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Kazma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 22%, draw 25%, Kazma 53%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✗ BTTS No
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