Carlisle United 0-3 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Jan 2026

Carlisle United
0 - 3 HT 0 - 1
York City
📅21/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Carlisle United vs York City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.28
2-3
45%
1.86
4-5
27%
2.83
6+
8%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.25
1/2 ✗
3%
23.1
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.71
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
2%
27.5
2/2
24%
3.12
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 3% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Carlisle United v York City — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Carlisle United The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY York City The Market 45%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.80 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Great Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
148 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 143 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards 1

Carlisle United vs York City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY York City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2025 York City York City 5-0 HT 3-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İBSL
23.01.2016 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İN2
19.09.2015 York City York City 2-2 HT 0-2 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
14.03.2015 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
28.12.2014 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-3 HT 0-1 York City York City İN2
10.01.2004 York City York City 2-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
REVIEW Carlisle United vs York City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

York City swept aside Carlisle United 3-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (59%) came in, both teams to score (61%) didn't.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carlisle United and 2.17 for York City.

Carlisle United vs York City Result & Final Score

Carlisle United 0 - 3 York City in the England - National League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carlisle United vs York City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 33%, draw 27%, York City 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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