Barcelona (K) 3-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Super Cup, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
9%
8.78
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
21%
1.0
Over 2.5
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.3pp
9%
Draw
8%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+54% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
5.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3.88 xG 0.38
70% Ball Possession 30%
25 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
613 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
55 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 A. Bilbao (K) 1-8 HT 0-4 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18.01.2025 A. Bilbao (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
10.05.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 7-0 HT 3-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
3-1
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) saw off A. Bilbao (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (79%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 62% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 38%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.67 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.33 for A. Bilbao (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Barcelona (K) 3-1 A. Bilbao (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 71%, draw 9%, A. Bilbao (K) 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSKSK More Spain - Women's Super Cup
21 Jan 2026
21:00 Barcelona (K) vs Athletic Club (K) Analysis →