Barcelona (K) 3-1 Athletic Club (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Super Cup, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
9%
8.78
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
21%
1.0
Over 2.5
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.3pp
9%
Draw
8%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+54% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
3-1
AWAY Athletic Club (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Athletic Club (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) beat Athletic Club (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (79%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 60% of the ball to Athletic Club (K)'s 40%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Athletic Club (K)?

Barcelona (K) 3-1 Athletic Club (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Athletic Club (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 71%, draw 9%, Athletic Club (K) 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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