Huachipato 2-4 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Super Cup, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-3D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.06.2025 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
26.08.2024 U. Catolica 4-0 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
30.03.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.11.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
11.05.2023 U. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-4
AWAY U. Catolica
1.24 xG 2.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 3
184 Passes 306
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica beat Huachipato 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huachipato had 40% of the ball to U. Catolica's 60%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.24 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Huachipato and 1.17 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs U. Catolica?

Huachipato 2-4 U. Catolica in the Chile - Super Cup on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 22%, draw 33%, U. Catolica 45%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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