Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Jan 2026

Newcastle Jets (K)
1-2 HT 1-0
Adelaide United (K)
📅21/01/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.72/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.16
+10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
21.4 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.5

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 263
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.01.2025 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.03.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-8 HT 0-3 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2023 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-2
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.80 xG 2.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
317 Passes 250
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) nicked a narrow win over Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Adelaide United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 55% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 45%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 2.80 to 2.28 — on chances, Newcastle Jets (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.67 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 38%, draw 26%, Adelaide United (K) 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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