UPDF 0-1 Gaddafi — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uganda - Premier League, 21 Jan 2026

UPDF LWDDL→
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Gaddafi WDWWW→
📅21/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

UPDF vs Gaddafi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 13:51
Match Result
Home
39%
2.32
Draw
34%
2.96
Away
27%
2.93
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.58
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
2%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

UPDF v Gaddafi — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME UPDF The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Gaddafi The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

UPDF vs Gaddafi Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gaddafi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
2 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2024 UPDF UPDF 1-1 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
29.03.2022 Gaddafi Gaddafi 1-3 HT 1-1 UPDF UPDF UGA
02.11.2021 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 2-2 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
REVIEW UPDF vs Gaddafi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gaddafi found just enough to beat UPDF 1-0 on their travels.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Gaddafi found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (63%) came home.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UPDF had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UPDF and 1.33 for Gaddafi.

UPDF vs Gaddafi Result & Final Score

UPDF 0 - 1 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

UPDF vs Gaddafi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UPDF 39%, draw 34%, Gaddafi 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UPDF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UPDF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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