Alajuelense 3-2 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -3%
2.20/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.33
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
514 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
14.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
22.09.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
20.04.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
3-2
AWAY Perez Zeledon
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Perez Zeledon 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Alajuelense had 61% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 39%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?

Alajuelense 3-2 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 64%, draw 23%, Perez Zeledon 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
21 Feb 2024
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