Sporting San Jose 1-0 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.73/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.12
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
10.09.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-3 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
23.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-2 HT 2-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
24.02.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
10.09.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-2 HT 2-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-0
AWAY Puntarenas FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose nicked a narrow win over Puntarenas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 47% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Puntarenas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.40 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Puntarenas FC?

Sporting San Jose 1-0 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 45%, draw 27%, Puntarenas FC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
21 Feb 2024
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