Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 21 Feb 2024

Necaxa DDDDD→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Guadalajara WWWWD→
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
53%
1.83
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.1
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.77
6+
5%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Necaxa v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Necaxa The Market 31%
Signal
AWAY Guadalajara The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
1.52 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.07.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
09.04.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
20.08.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 0-4 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
30.04.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
29.08.2021 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
14.02.2021 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-2 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK

Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
1 - 0
AWAY Guadalajara
1.60 xG 0.73
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 11
123 Passes 390
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Necaxa vs Guadalajara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Necaxa nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 1-0.

We leaned Guadalajara at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Guadalajara saw more of the ball, 72% to 28%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.60 to 0.73.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Necaxa against 2.00 for Guadalajara.

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score

Necaxa 1 - 0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 26%, draw 29%, Guadalajara 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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