Pineto 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.29/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.75
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
13.10.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
05.03.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
30.10.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto and Vis Pesaro shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Pineto had 46% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 54%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pineto and 1.00 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

Pineto 1-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Pineto 34%, draw 32%, Vis Pesaro 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pineto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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