Trento AC 1-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.08/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pergolettese
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
18.02.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-3 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
14.10.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
15.03.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
12.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 1-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
13.03.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-1
AWAY Pergolettese
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC and Pergolettese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trento AC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 60% of the ball to Pergolettese's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trento AC and 1.33 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Pergolettese?

Trento AC 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 43%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trento AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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