Trento AC 1-3 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

Trento AC
1-3 HT 0-1
Pergolettese
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Trento AC vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trento AC v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.99/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Trento AC vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Pergolettese
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
15.03.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
12.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 1-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
13.03.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
31.10.2021 Trento AC Trento AC 1-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC

Trento AC 1-3 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-3
AWAY Pergolettese
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese beat Trento AC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 53% of the ball to Pergolettese's 47%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Trento AC and 1.40 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Pergolettese?

Trento AC 1-3 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 35%, draw 29%, Pergolettese 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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