Gulf United 4-4 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.8pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.06
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
21.10.2024 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-1 Gulf United BAE2
13.01.2024 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 HT 1-0 Gulf United BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf United
4-4
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf United and Al Jazira Al Hamra shared the points in a 4-4 draw. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Al Hamra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gulf United had 44% of the ball to Al Jazira Al Hamra's 56%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gulf United and 2.50 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Gulf United 4-4 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Al Hamra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 29%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 45%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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