Dewa United 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.33/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
+42% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
27.09.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
16.04.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-3 HT 0-1 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
24.12.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 1-2 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
2-0
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United saw off Persebaya Surabaya 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dewa United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dewa United had 57% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 43%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dewa United and 0.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Dewa United 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 57%, draw 21%, Persebaya Surabaya 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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