Stellenbosch FC 1-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.18 — our 41% vs market 37.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.34/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.18
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.9 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
434 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
25.05.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-1 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
02.12.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-3 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFLK
07.11.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
25.02.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
03.09.2022 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
1-1
AWAY Richards Bay
1.46 xG 1.44
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
608 Passes 147
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 14
40 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC and Richards Bay shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 77% of the ball to Richards Bay's 23%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.46 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay?

Stellenbosch FC 1-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 51%, draw 25%, Richards Bay 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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