Richards Bay 2-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.09/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.56
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.6 Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
290 Passes 400
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-3 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFLK
07.11.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
25.02.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
03.09.2022 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
2-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.04 xG 2.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
179 Passes 529
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 51
14 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past Stellenbosch FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 31% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 69%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 1.04 to 2.31 — on chances, Stellenbosch FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richards Bay and 2.00 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch FC?

Richards Bay 2-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 26%, draw 29%, Stellenbosch FC 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
25 May 2024
16:00 Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United Analysis →
16:00 Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy Analysis →
16:00 AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows Analysis →
16:00 Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City Analysis →