Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.55/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.54
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
15.9 Crosses 12.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cape Town City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.96 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
393 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
04.04.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
05.08.2022 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-2 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
27.04.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
20.11.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
30.10.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0-1
AWAY Cape Town City
0.35 xG 0.28
70% Ball Possession 30%
7 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
408 Passes 118
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City nicked a narrow win over Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 70% of the ball to Cape Town City's 30%, shots finished 7-2, expected goals 0.35 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City?

Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 49%, draw 25%, Cape Town City 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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