Polokwane City 1-0 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.95/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.64
-39% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.1 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.98 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
230 Passes 248
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 3-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-0
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.45 xG 0.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
160 Passes 492
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City nicked a narrow win over TS Galaxy 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Polokwane City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Polokwane City had 31% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 69%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.45 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy?

Polokwane City 1-0 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated an TS Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 32%, draw 30%, TS Galaxy 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TS Galaxy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TS Galaxy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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