Haverfordwest County 1-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

Haverfordwest County
1-0 HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.56
Over 2.5
57%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
2.16
No
37%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.7 — our 29% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
60%
-16.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
40%
+16.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
42%
+20.7pp
37%
BTTS No
58%
-20.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.66/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.03
-6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALWK
28.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
06.05.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County edged past Cardiff MU 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Haverfordwest County found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.50 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Haverfordwest County 1-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 40%, draw 32%, Cardiff MU 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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